Assessing the potential influence of zero-deforestation corporate supply chain commitments on tropical land cover
This project will assess interactions between zero-deforestation commitments and tropical land cover dynamics and identify enabling conditions to improve the likelihood that commitments will achieve stated goals. To achieve these outcomes, this project will synthesize social data on trade dynamics, market conditions, and supply chain commitments and ecological data on tropical land cover change, build a coupled land change-supply chain-trade model, and apply this model to contrast future scenarios of supply chain commitments. This proposal focuses on soy, a leading cause of land cover change in South America, with an eye toward applications for other global commodities and tropical regions, particularly oil palm in Southeast Asia.